The CIT’s first mission-level MWA was for Dominator. For this analysis effort, the team employed a campaign simulation to identify the appropriate force structure mix to use against the target set of interest; the analysts then used the resulting force mix as the starting point for designing the inventory force structure for the mission. The team found this technique very useful and plans to refine it for future studies. In fact, the CIT’s most current effort—a missionlevel MWA for the HTIF project—will involve the same process of developing an inventory force structure for the mission and then comparing it to concept weapon performance.

Mission-level simulation requires a significant amount of time and effort to adequately develop models and conduct a sufficient number of simulation runs for extracting meaningful results. Therefore, analysts often conduct shorter, less expensive, campaign-level MWA to first establish the probability of realizing a military payoff should a concept weapon achieve some level of effect (e.g., expected kills per sortie). If the initial, campaign-level MWA yields little or no payoff, analysts do not usually proceed with developing or conducting lengthier, costlier mission simulations. However, if campaign-level simulation results indicate a potential payoff, mission simulation specialists can use them in determining what level of effect the concept weapon must achieve to generate a significant campaign payoff to the warfighter. They can also use promising campaign-level results to identify which mission types to target for the concept weapon.